California
W-L: ( 6-11) PR = 82.8151Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A San Diego State Big 12 ( 3-13, 79.6) 13-12 208 A Southern California Big Ten ( 8- 9, 86.5) 9-16 213 H Florida State ACC ( 4-12, 82.8) 10- 9 219 A Oregon Big Ten ( 6-10, 81.8) 14- 9 223 H UC Davis Big 12 ( 7- 9, 84.5) 12-13 228 A Duke ACC ( 9- 8, 91.0) 7-16 303 A Syracuse ACC (14- 6, 93.1) 3-13 307 H Boston College ACC (10- 8, 92.7) 8-15 309 H Stonehill Northeast (13- 7, 78.5) 17-10 312 H North Carolina ACC (19- 2, 99.9) 3-20 316 H Marist Metro Atlan ( 4-12, 77.5) 18-10 321 A Louisville ACC ( 6- 9, 85.9) 5-12 324 A Xavier Big East ( 2-14, 77.0) 11-10 328 A Notre Dame ACC (12- 6, 93.4) 4-17 403 H Clemson ACC (15- 6, 94.7) 8-17 411 H Virginia Tech ACC ( 9- 8, 87.1) 5-10 416 H Stanford ACC (17- 5, 95.9) 5-17
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A San Diego State 13-12 1 2 -0.84
208 A Southern California 9-16 -7 -5 -1.92
213 H Florida State 10- 9 1 1 -0.43
219 A Oregon 14- 9 5 0 ++ 5.34
223 H UC Davis 12-13 -1 0 -0.66
228 A Duke 7-16 -9 -10 0.52
303 A Syracuse 3-13 -10 -12 1.64
307 H Boston College 8-15 -7 -9 1.54
309 H Stonehill 17-10 7 6 1.32
312 H North Carolina 3-20 -17 -16 0.00
316 H Marist 18-10 8 7 1.30
321 A Louisville 5-12 -7 -4 - -2.51
324 A Xavier 11-10 1 4 - -3.47
328 A Notre Dame 4-17 -13 -12 -1.07
403 H Clemson 8-17 -9 -11 1.56
411 H Virginia Tech 5-10 -5 -3 - -2.06
416 H Stanford 5-17 -12 -12 -0.26
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 321 A Louisville 5-12 -7 -4 - -2.51 324 A Xavier 11-10 1 4 - -3.47 411 H Virginia Tech 5-10 -5 -3 - -2.06 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 219 A Oregon 14- 9 5 0 ++ 5.34 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A San Diego Stat ( 3-13, 79.6) 13-12 -20.30 19.87 1.37 1.02 43.29
3 A Southern Calif ( 8- 9, 86.5) 9-16 -13.37 26.80 1.37 1.02 -6.12
3 H Florida State ( 4-12, 82.8) 10- 9 -17.14 23.02 -1.37 1.02 44.13
3 A Oregon ( 6-10, 81.8) 14- 9 -18.12 22.05 1.37 1.02 47.73
3 H UC Davis ( 7- 9, 84.5) 12-13 -15.38 24.79 -1.37 1.02 -8.53
3 A Duke ( 9- 8, 91.0) 7-16 -8.94 31.23 1.37 1.02 -3.86
3 A Syracuse (14- 6, 93.1) 3-13 -6.81 33.36 1.37 1.02 -2.77
3 H Boston College (10- 8, 92.7) 8-15 -7.17 33.00 -1.37 1.02 -4.35
3 H Stonehill (13- 7, 78.5) 17-10 -21.40 18.77 -1.37 1.02 35.47
3 H North Carolina (19- 2, 99.9) 3-20 -0.00 40.17 -1.37 1.02 -0.70
3 H Marist ( 4-12, 77.5) 18-10 -22.41 17.76 -1.37 1.02 33.40
3 A Louisville ( 6- 9, 85.9) 5-12 -13.96 26.20 1.37 1.02 -6.42
3 A Xavier ( 2-14, 77.0) 11-10 -22.92 17.25 1.37 1.02 37.94
3 A Notre Dame (12- 6, 93.4) 4-17 -6.52 33.65 1.37 1.02 -2.63
3 H Clemson (15- 6, 94.7) 8-17 -5.16 35.01 -1.37 1.02 -3.33
3 H Virginia Tech ( 9- 8, 87.1) 5-10 -12.77 27.39 -1.37 1.02 -7.20
3 H Stanford (17- 5, 95.9) 5-17 -3.98 36.19 -1.37 1.02 -2.73
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193.33
|
winning pts = 241.9599 losing points = -48.6284
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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